Despite early reports of declining wholesale shipments and retail
demand, the overall outlook for the RV industry remains solid,
positioning the industry for yet another banner year in 2019.
That’s
the word from Frank Hugelmeyer, president of the RV Industry
Association, who spoke on the state of the RV industry during the 7th
Annual RV Industry Power Breakfast held Thursday morning at the Northern
Indiana Events Center, part of the RV/MH Hall of Fame in Elkhart.
According
to Hugelmeyer, while it’s true that first quarter RV shipments were
down by just over 27% compared to the same time period in 2018, that
information has to be prefaced with the understanding that the industry
realized an unprecedented amount of growth over the past three years. As
such, even with the reported declines, the industry is still looking at
what very well could be its fifth-best year on record.
HISTORIC RECORDS
“Let’s
remember that right now we’re in the top three years of sales within
our industry in our history. And we’re staying on track for that this
year,” Hugelmeyer told the crowd of more than 1,000 RV industry
officials and allies early Thursday morning. “We also, if you look at
our shipment data, and you look at last year in January, February and
March. ... We’re coming off of historic records. Those are historic,
historic years. We’ve never seen years like we did in the beginning of
2018, those three months. So we’re still on track for another top-five
sales and production year in our history. We’re way over the 20-year
average of 331,000 units shipment average each year.”
Helping add
to that promising prediction is the fact that the U.S. government has
officially recognized outdoor recreation as an industry in and of
itself, Hugelmeyer explained.
“We’re in a situation where outdoor
recreation right now is finally recognized at the federal level for the
very first time,” Hugelmeyer said. “We’ve been in an industry where the
federal government, the Bureau of Economic Analysis, didn’t recognize us
as an industry. And what they found is we’re one of the top 15
industries in the country. We contribute $734 billion annually, and 2.2
percent of the U.S. GDP is driven by people in this room as well as
other recreation sectors around the country. We’re bigger than
agriculture, which is 1 percent of the U.S. GDP. We’re bigger than
mining and utilities. So realize that there’s great, great power in what
we’re producing, and we’re an incredibly important job sector.”
PROJECTIONS COMING
Hugelmeyer
noted that the RVIA is currently in the process of finalizing its most
recent RV-specific economic analysis and projection report, with numbers
set to be released in June.
“And you have to realize, I’ve seen
some of the early numbers, and our growth from the last time we did this
before, is at 40 percent, 50 percent,” Hugelmeyer said of the report.
“When you look at labor, when you look at our contribution to the
economy and job creation in the country, that’s outstanding results.
We’ve been a large part of driving this economic recovery over the last
several years, and certainly in the last five. And you’re seeing the
numbers both in our sales, as well as we’re going to see them in our
economic news.”
Moving forward, Hugelmeyer said the RVIA will
continue to advocate on behalf of the RV industry when it comes to the
top business issues of the day, one example being the ongoing trade and
tariff discussions with China.
“We’re very active on that front on
your behalf, to make sure that those impacts, particularly on steel and
aluminum, are not harming our members,” Hugelmeyer said.
COURTING SUPPORT
Along
those lines, Hugelmeyer noted that the RVIA is in the process of
launching the RVIA Political Action Committee, a nonprofit, non-partisan
PAC aimed at building a bench of national RV champions, particularly in
the key committees handling issues that directly affect the RV
industry, such as trade, tax and recreation.
“This is a critical
tool for us to continue to advocate on your behalf,” Hugelmeyer said of
the new PAC. “It’s a critical, critical tool for us to continue to work
on your behalf to create a better and stronger business.”
Also
high on the RVIA’s list of major issues that need immediate attention
is what Hugelmeyer described as the industry’s growing shortage of RV
technicians, something the association hopes to address with the recent
launch of its new RV Technical Institute.
“This is a critical
issue,” Hugelmeyer said of the technician shortage, noting that the goal
of the new RVTI is to improve the RV consumer experience by reducing
repair event cycle times and growing the pool of trained service
technicians. “As we’ve seen record sales, we’re going to see record
repair. We need to make sure we’re competing with the other sectors for
our share of vocational workers.”
As part of that mission,
Hugelmeyer informed Thursday’s crowd that the RVIA just finalized the
purchase of a property at 333 Middlebury St., Elkhart, that will serve
as the new Elkhart Hub of the RVTI (RV Technical Institute) and RVIA.
“We’re
expanding our presence here,” Hugelmeyer said of the new purchase.
“RVTI will be based here as well as the RVIA staff. It’s 18,000 square
feet, on three acres, has seven classrooms, and will be open during the
open house to be able to provide tours so that you can see this new
facility.”
A grand opening for the new facility is set for the fall.
Other
guest speakers at Thursday’s breakfast included Indiana Gov. Eric
Holcomb, University of Maryland economics professor Peter Morici; U.S.
Rep. Jackie Walorski; RV Dealers Association President Phil Ingrassia;
RVIA Chairman Garry Enyart; and Kampgrounds of America Inc. CEO Toby
O’Rourke.